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When you have a blackjack and the dealer shows an ace, 31 percent of the time the dealer will also have blackjack and you will tie. But that means 69 percent of the time the dealer won’t have blackjack, and you will win 1.5 times your bet.
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Blackjack - Wikipedia
Conclusion: You can see that if you have terrible rules on a game, you better have good dealer penetration if you want to make money. If you have great rules you can be a little more forgiving when it comes to the shuffle point. Then there’s the middle ground of semi-decent rules and average penetration. How a Basic Strategy Player can Beat Blackjack This article (“How a Basic Strategy Player can Beat Blackjack”) is talking about working the comp system to make up more than your expected loss in free food, rooms, and entertainment. But you are not ever going to win back your money playing basic strategy blackjack against a CSM. If you want to beat the game, it’s not hard.
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Can I make money playing blackjack? - Quora
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